Eco
In Spring 2026, experts warned that the ongoing war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz could drive the UK economy into a sharp recession, with potential losses of £68 billion. Estimates suggest unemployment will hit 5.8% while inflation spikes to 5% as oil prices approach $140 per barrel. The Bank of England may raise interest rates to 5.25%, further straining the housing market. With the IMF slashing UK growth forecasts to 0.8%, the 2026 economic outlook remains bleak unless a diplomatic solution reopens vital maritime routes.